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Narendra Modi far ahead of others in the Prime Ministerial race in all poll-bound states : Samay TV

Samay TV Network-Hub Pulse / Hung assembly in Delhi, BJP forms government in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan

New Delhi: There will be intense electoral battle in four poll-bound states in the November-December assembly elections. While the Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP) seems coming to power in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, there will be nail biting contest in Chhatisgarh and Delhi.

As per Samay-Hub Pulse survey, by winning 124 seats Shivraj Singh Chauhan-led BJP appears coming to power for the third consecutive terms in Madhya Pradesh. In the 2008 polls, the BJP had remained victorious on 143 of the total 230 assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh. The Congress appears winning 94 assembly seats–23 more than what the party got during the last the last assembly polls. While the BJP is seen getting 37 per cent voters’ support, the Congress is seen winning 34 per cent support in Madhya Pradesh.

According to survey, Shivraj Singh Chauhan is still the most favourite cheif ministerial candidate in Madhya Pradesh. While 53 per cent people of the state want to see Narendra Modi as the next Prime Minister of the country, in comparison, only 30 per cent people of the state want to see Rahul Gandhi as the next Prime Minister.

In Rajasthan, Vasundhara Raje-led BJP seems to be returning to power in the assembly elections. According to the survey, the BJP will win 103 of the 200 assembly seats, in contrast, the Congress party’s strength will shrink to 79 seats. In the last assembly polls, the Congress had won 96 seats, while its arch rival the BJP had remained victorious on 78 seats. But this time around, while the Congress will suffer a blow, the BJP is seen getting a benefit of 25 more seats than what it had received during the 2008 assembly polls.

As many as 45 per cent voters want to see Vasundhara Raje as the next Chief Minister of Rajasthan, in comparison, only 31 per cent electorates favour Ashok Gehlot for the state’s hot seat. Thus Vasundhara has an edge over Gehlot. However, 15 per cent voters also want young Congress leader Sachin Pilot on the Chief Ministerial chair, but then 9 per cent support others too for this post.

Ahead of the Lok Sabha elections, Samay-Hub Pulse survey, tried to assess the mood of the people with regard to the Prime Ministerial candidate. In Rajasthan, while Narendra Modi is a choice of 56 per cent people for the Prime Ministerial chair, Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi is a favourite of only 32 per cent people for this highly prestigious post.

In Chhattisgarh, to form the government for the third consecutive term, the incumbent Raman Singh-led BJP government is seen facing tough electoral battle. As per the survey, it is not easy to say what way the contest will move towards, as the BJP appears bagging 46 seats, while the Congress as many as 42 seats in the forthcoming assembly polls in the state. In that case, it is difficult to rule out intense electoral contest in Chhattisgarh.

In 2008 assembly elections the BJP had secured 50 seats. As per the survey, the Hdindutva party seems to suffer a loss of 4 seats in the forthcoming assembly polls in Chhattisgarh. At the same time, in comparison to its performance in the 2008 assembly elections when it had won 38 seats only, the Congress appears getting 42 seats in the polls.

However, in terms of vote share the BJP is ahead of the Congress. The BJP’s vote share is 41 per cent, while that of the the Congress is 39 per cent in the state. Nonetheless, the contest is expected to become quite interesting provided electoral pattern witnesses a change in the state.

By becoming a favourite of 43 per cent people, Raman Singh is still far ahead of others for the Chief Ministerial post in Chhattisgarh. In contrast, only 31 per cent people want to see Congress party’s Ajit Jogi on the state’s Chief Ministerial chair, while 36 per cent want others on this hot seat.

As the next Prime Minister, Narendra Modi is a favourite of as many as 45 per cent people in the state, while 21 per cent want to see Rahul Gandhi as the next Prime Minister. Interstingly, 9 per cent people want Manmohan Singh to return to the Prime Ministerial chair once again.

In Delhi, by earning huge popularity among common man, Aam Aadmi Party(AAP) appears keeping the Congress and the BJP away from power. As per survey, the BJP appears getting 32 seats, while the Congress 31 and the AAP as many as 6 seats .

With regard to the Chief Ministerial race, Congress’ Sheila is a favourite of 26 per cent people, the BJP’s Vijay Goel 22 per cent and that of AAP’s Arvind Kejriwal 19 per cent. In the course of survey, Harsh Vardhan was not projected as the Chief Ministerial candidate, yet he was popular choice of 14 per cent .

For the Prime Ministerial chair, 45 per cent supported the candidature of Narendra Modi in Delhi, while only 29 per cent people wanted Rahul Gandhi on the country’s helms of power.


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